Municipal Bonds rates up

An interesting side-effect of the financial crisis is that interest rates on municipal bonds are now about the same as the rates for US Treasury bonds. Usually muni rates are lower than Treasury rates. High-income investors accept the lower rates because muni interest is exempt from Federal income tax. Currently, however, many investors are concerned about the safety of municipal bonds, because many of the state and local governments that issue them are having serious budget problems. Also, bond-insurance companies have been hit hard by the crisis, adding further stress to the market. Higher demand for Treasuries and lower demand for munis has lowered the market rates on the former and raised them on the latter.
One would think this situation would eventually return to normal, but there is a new development in this mix. There is a Federal subsidy available to state and local governments that issue taxable bonds. The feds will pay 35% of the interest that the states and locals are on the hook for. This subsidy is scheduled to expire at the end of this year, but it could be extended, because it appears by some calculations to be more efficient than having a tax exemption for muni bonds. If it became permanent, it could change the market for municipal bonds permanently, according to The Economist, an international weekly news and economics magazine.
Does this mean that muni rates will stay high? It could mean that, but theories to project investment values don't always work out. Investors will need to watch carefully and be mindful of the elevated risk.